If conferences expand in the future and let's say 9 game conference schedules start. Army and Navy may need opponents similar to how Notre Dame may feel forced to join a conference. I believe Army and Navy will stay independents, but who knows if the Big 12 can deliver on their promises to Texas, Oklahoma, A & M, and OK State. If they can't does the PAC make another attempt. Does the snowball start? Just sayin'.
PS-You are 100% correct on Dayton. I should have paid better attention rather than hurrying.
Your'e dead on about the Big 12. Who knows how the financials will play out. We almost had Texas A&M leave for the SEC and the other 4 to the Pac-10. TAMU also made it clear that if they don't get their $20 million, they might still elave, regardless of what the other schools do.
I think for the future though, things will be much different.
This past spring, the Pac-10 and Big 12 had talked about a joint TV contract. Then the Pac-10 realized they could cut out the middle man (B12 bottom feeders) and just bring in the best of the Big 12. Everyone else was caught off guard.
Next time, that won't be the case. You can bet your ass that the SEC is putting together all the financials so that they can make a counter offer if the Pac-10 came calling again. And i mean hard numbers that would be tough for texas to turn down based on the "academic" excuse they've used before.
You might also see the Big Ten have a plan in place...especially now that Nebraska is in the fold. No love lost between Neb and the Big 12 schools, but if all of a sudden you're talking Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, OSU, Texas, Texas A&M together (Big Ten putting markets/money ahead of academics with the Oklahoma schools)..you'e got another ballgame.
My money is still on the SEC though. They have time to forge a plan. All 4 schools make sense in the SEC and would generate even more money for the conference. It's also a powerful conference, more so than the Pac-10. And rather than the idea of Texas and Oklahoma schools having to fly to Seattle, Spokane, and Portland for secondary sports, you're talking about divisions like: Oklahoma, OSU, Texas, Texas A&M, Arkansas, LSU, MSU & Ole Miss.
For now though, all is stable...