BYU (if just football only) clearly adds value to the Big XII inventory. Likewise, Cincinnati is more valuable than: Baylor, TCU, Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas Tech. It stands to reason that there is at least one voting member of the Big XII not interested in adding value to the Big XII inventory. Perhaps a "clean break" is coming sooner than we think. The Big Ten is not afraid to "raid" other conferences. The Big Ten has "done research" on at least one current SEC school (Missouri).
Perhaps, something could be worked out wherein the SEC temporarily drops to 13 if only to free up a spot in a post-Big XII world.
-Missouri declares it is leaving the SEC for the Big Ten.
-Texas, Oklahoma, Florida State join the SEC.
-Kansas joins the Big Ten.
-Both the Big Ten and SEC have 16 members and clearly defined eastern and western divisions.
-This ensures that the Big Ten and SEC are the first 16-school conferences and that the P5 has become a P4.
-From here, the same strategy could be employed by the Big Ten and SEC to become the first 20-school conferences by joint-raiding the ACC.
-North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia, Virginia Tech join the SEC.
-Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Boston College join the Big Ten.
-Both the Big Ten and SEC have 20 members... and no conceivable competition. The P4 has become a P2. The PAC could only add BYU, Hawaii and others of that ilk.
-Both could also reach 24 with diminished returns, but even more of a monopoly in a P2 world.
-Clemson, Louisville, Georgia Tech, West Virginia join the SEC.
-Connecticut, Iowa State, Cincinnati, Duke join the Big Ten.
p.s. The foreshadowing of these events was the Big XII passing on Louisville. Fox forced the Big XII into taking a tenth school. Imagine the thought process of a conference content to sit at just nine schools and passing up: West Virginia, Louisville and Cincinnati. That was the mindset of the Big XII whilst Texas and Oklahoma were receiving public offers from other conferences. Things are not stable in the Big XII. The 33% loss of founding membership in less than 20 years does not signify a conference on solid ground. History has shown that when given an offer with no strings attached, a Big XII school will join a different conference in so far as they can leave individually. Do the state politics of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas carry enough weight to limit those flagships to life in a conference of diminished value? Texas A&M has already broken this chain in Texas. Does anyone really think that the State of Kansas would prevent Kansas from accepting a Big Ten invite? Oklahoma State is very undervalued in my mind. The greatest Oklahoma State team of all time just defeated the greatest Stanford team of all time. The PAC needs to get their act together and invite both Oklahoma schools while they still have a chance to. Losing out on Oklahoma is in a very real sense losing out on Texas as well. The worst-case scenario is that the PAC will be in effect left behind as the Big Ten and SEC grow twice their current size.
Another "clean break" example...
-Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas, Iowa State to PAC (3 new states, 4 good basketball programs, 4 Central Time Zones, 2 good football programs, 2 AAU schools)
-Texas, West Virginia, Florida State to SEC (1 new state, solidify states of Texas and Florida, 3 good basketball and football programs, 1 AAU school, easier now to to raid ACC)
-Missouri, Connecticut to Big Ten (2 new states, 2 good basketball programs, that much closer to claiming NYC market, 1 AAU school)
-Notre Dame (in full), Cincinnati, UCF to ACC (recovers from losing FSU with slight profit, 2 new states, UCF is fastest-growing Go5, all 3 additions good for TV)
4 Super Conferences of 16 schools, six former Big XII schools have P4 homes. TCU has only been P5 level for three years. Sad to go back, but it's only been a three year stay. Baylor reached P5 by hook and crook over more deserving schools such as Rice, Tulane and New Mexico. Kansas State has always been a simple formula of Junior College All-Stars and very soft schedules. Texas Tech hasn't done anything of note in 110 years of playing college sports. Their greatest moment is beating Texas in a 2-loss season culminating in losing to an unranked Ole Miss team in the Cotton Bowl. In hoops, they hired a coach infamous for dressing down prominent athletic directors and physically abusing his own players. Even with said coach and the temporary boost in notoriety, one trip to the Sweet 16 was the highlight.
For those of you familiar with the music industry. Like the ACC, rap group NWA had a "Grant of Rights". Dr. Dre and Ice Cube broke the Grant of Rights to sign with other labels. The remaining members of NWA did in a sense "own the media rights" of Maryland and Florida State despite both members now recording music for different recording companies. Likewise, I see ESPN ironing out the ACC Grant of Rights to ensure a "cease fire" and a Notre Dame-infused ACC. Unlike many here, I don't see the Grant of Rights as holding the collage football landscape together. The SEC doesn't even have one! Sure, nobody has challenged it..... yet. Remember when Oklahoma once challenged the NCAA itself? Remember when Northwestern challenged the nature of being a student athlete? To think these Grant of Rights will hold after say the Big XII loses 60% of its current membership is nuts. Every contract on the planet can be changed if the circumstances are mutually beneficial. The Big Ten is talking to TV companies as we speak. They are not at all afraid of eliminating the Big XII conference from the landscape. Nor is the SEC. Neither business titan is afraid of the ACC either.