Is the SEC preparing to add the University of Oklahoma by potentially moving Missouri back to the west and Auburn to the east.
If Florida State has some wiggle room out of the ACC GOR and the Big 12 could release Oklahoma from GOR to stabilize that league, could this be the new SEC to compete with the Big Ten.
East: Florida State, Florida, Georgia, Auburn, South Carolina, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee
West: Alabama, Mississippi, Mississippi State, LSU, Arkansas, Texas A&M, Missouri, Oklahoma
Once these moves take place we should stop using the term power leagues and group of five schools and have tiers of leagues.
Tier 1: SEC, Big Ten
Tier 2: ACC, Pac 12, Big 12?
Tier 3: AAC, MWC
Tier 4: Conference USA, Sun Belt, Mid American
I like a couple of your points. Many say the SEC wouldn't duplicate a state which would eliminate Florida St. However, there are some schools that are just different animals. For example, the B1G pursued Notre Dame for a while but already had Indiana and Purdue. The B1G has not pursued Iowa St. Notre Dame is a completely different type of school than Iowa St. Same here. Florida St is not Louisville. While I think Louisville fits the SEC profile and would be a good addition, I don't see them ever getting in the conference because of Kentucky. Florida St is like a Texas A&M or Michigan St in that they may not be the main flagship in their state, but they might as well be.
In your tiers, I believe that's roughly how they would go. Tier 1 would be the North and the South (B1G and SEC). Tier 2 would be the East and the West (ACC and PAC). Tier 3 would then be the MWC and AAC. Tier 4 finishing up with CUSA, MAC, and Sun Belt.
I don't see the XII staying together. As far as what tier each school is by where they may end up: I'd say Texas and Oklahoma are clear Tier 1. Oklahoma St and Kansas are probably Tier 1 but could be Tier 2. West Virginia and Texas Tech have Tier 1 dreams but probably Tier 2. Kansas St, Iowa St, TCU, and Baylor are Tier 2. For independents: Notre Dame is Tier 1. BYU is Tier 2. Army, Massachusetts, New Mexico St, and Idaho (sigh) are Tier 3.