From what I read on the GoR, and each may be a little different, is that not only revenue could be withheld from the school, but that the TV network broadcasting a game involving the departed school could be sued for the disbursements that would go to the school. The amount could be higher over the violation of terms.
Outside the ACC and Big12, the SEC has no 'ace jewels' (UF President's term), if they wanted to expand with a couple. The B1G would have a couple of options, but certainly nothing near the ambitious targets they were alleged to have pursued earlier.
Is this super-group (5 conferences) intending to separate out and then re-organize into four? If so, it would seem the Big12 would be the conference that would be broken up in such as situation. I say this, not because they are less quality than the ACC, but because they are in the middle of the country with fewer members. The ACC could do nothing for the PAC12 directly.
Could the B12, in this, strike a deal with the other 4 and nullify their own G0R? Hypothetically, in a great compromise for bigger bucks, the PAC12 takes Texas, TTU, and an Oklahoma school (for 15 and needing another for 16). The SEC agrees on OU or OSU (for their own 15, and needing one more--Kansas State?). The B1G takes at least Kansas, but would also need to accept Iowa State; thus 16. The ACC takes WVU along with a full commitment from ND; thus 16.
The thinking would be, the sacrifices on accepting certain schools are for the good of the new order and more mega-bucks from TV. The networks may love it.
B12 conference schools could go along with the split-up if it means security and more profit.
But a problem with this scenario. Who would want Baylor and Texas Christian? None of the other 4 probably. Don't know the rules on what it takes to break the GoR, but 8 out of 10 schools could be enough. Of course Baylor would sue. Would it be "welcome to the AAC" TCU & Baylor? Would that be fair though, when the Wake Forests' and BCs' stay a part of the new order?
And what about those schools on the outside that may deserve inclusion such as BYU? Talking about money here, not religion as much.
OK, a conspiracy theory here. But I would put the possibility a tad above the dream conference stuff.
I'll put what i think on the Big 12 below but because this is a Big Ten thread, if getting Kansas and Iowa St is the end game then that sucks for them.
In my opinion, they are either after Texas, Oklahoma
, and quite possibly Kansas, but then they'd have to take a lesser Big 12 school like Texas Tech or a non-Big12 school like UConn to get to 18 (Iowa State, K State, OK State are not getting in; they might take Texas Tech as a way to get Texas but that as low as they'd go to get the Horns)...
Or after the ACC schools we already know about, UNC, UVA, FSU, GT
and possibly a Duke, Syracuse or BC (but not Pitt) all of course in hope of landing ND
If they don't land one of the bolded schools above then their post Nebraska expansion will look pretty sad...Maryland (okay...), Rutger (meh), Iowa State (HA), Kansas (okay...), UConn (meh)
Now if they landed Kentucky or Vandy from the SEC it would be huge, while those school aren't fb greats they are both baseball and basketball greats and would give the impression the the Big Ten is better than the SEC, and while they aren't on the same level as the bold schools above the impact of the move would be profound.
Now on the B12...
If the they can break the GOR w/ 7 (over 3/4ths vote which I've seen but cannot confirm if fact) the PAC12 would simply have to get the ACC to take WVU, then it could take UT, TT, OU, OSU, KU, and KSU and leave behind the private schools nobody would be interested in TCU/Baylor (AAC) and the lackluster Iowa St (MAC) and would not need help from the SEC or Big Ten (both which would only really be interested in Texas/OU/KU and possibly tag-a-long Tech). Plus if we look at the PAC12's options after TX/OK (Mizzou/Ark/LSU/A&M in SEC; Neb/Iowa/MN/WI in Big Ten) they really would have no where else to go other than grabbing non AQs from the MWC so why leave a prime bball powerhouse AAU school in major market (KC) out for the SEC/B1G to snatch up especially when the have KSU which is just as good if not better than as ASU/OrSU/WSU/Utah. Plus adding another two Central Time Zone schools (for a total of 6) will give them more branding and access to those early kickoff spots which the PAC12 can't really fill currently at 10am local time which would help them bump up their future TV value and the number of possible P12 network game broadcasts (for all sports).
Fan of the Big 12 Conference, the Mountain West Conference and...