Mizzou will not leave the SEC. The B1G had their opportunity, but their hubris screwed it up. Elwood G. Gee said that had they known MU would leave the Big 12, the B1G would have gone ahead with an invitation. But, no, they just had to "punish" MU by making them wait a couple of years because the idiot Missouri governor ran his mouth.
Delany talked about going to 16. The BiG should have done it by inviting MU and KU when they invited NU. That would have put a lot of pressure on Texas. Then invite Texas and OU. If OU still wanted to go west, invite Rutgers. It might have even worked better in 2011 after TAMU announced their move to the SEC and OU said they were looking around, but before MU announced its departure.
Imagine a B1G western division with those former Big 12 schools. Would NU have ever been pissed?
BTW, Colorado was never going to go east when there was a possibility of going west.
lew240z, you delivered a very good post above.
Delany had to deal with all the B1G Presidents, so those schools he really wanted to add personally, and when, was not real clear.
Agree, I expect Nebraska did not want to come into the B1G with certain others from the B12, particularly Mizzou.
It was no secret that Texas A&M and the SEC had been talking for a long time. Maybe Delany thought, just go to 12, the same number the SEC had then, and the SEC would not have the impulse to expand. But with the B12 schools all looking around, and the BE becoming even more shaky with ACC moves, one has to wonder if the B1G was thinking they could extract whomever they wanted on their own timeline. You are right, it was the B1G, itself, implying before Nebraska was officially added, that they may add multiple schools at the time.
The SEC had said, they were monitoring the landscape, and if other major conferences pursued expansion, the SEC would respond to maintain their own positioning with extended markets and added values.
After Delany added Nebraska, the B1G turned to the east. Contrary to many being suprised, Rutgers had been a B1G target longer than many had suspected. After the last ACC raid on the BE, Rutgers folks were all discouraged they were not moving. I remember their administration then, conveying to Rutgers constituents, that 'things shall be fine for Rutgers'. This was not a statement that Rutgers shall make the best of the status quo. They had a promise in the works from the B1G. I remember posting an article about this on this site at the time. Also, the Maryland initiative was not a 'spur of the moment' matter either. The ACC probably knew that Maryland was in talks with the B1G, but could have been a bit in denial that Maryland would actually move. Maryland (and FSU) voting against a huge exit fee jump was certainly a late indicator. The B1G certainly made a power statement about the ACC's deal with Notre Dame, following the addition of more former BE schools to the ACC.
I see posts here frequently, implying that the B1G can take schools from whatever conference they want, and whenever they want, through their power, prestige, and money. It hasn't worked that way in several situations. The preferable ACC schools said 'no', the SEC had their own counter-plan if need be, and the GoR initiatives took effect. Notre Dame had repeatedly declined B1G all-sports membership offers.
The SEC can't take just anybody they may seek either. But they have largely avoided suggesting they can. The SEC has been quite methodical with their prior expansions. That does not mean, in certain situations, the process was slow as to certain schools.
Fans often think conference Commissioners and their Presidents make real smart moves. But schools within a conference are not always on the same page about when to add and who to add. And, some of these university Presidents can be real fickle on this subject matter.
Concur, if the B1G really wanted Mizzou, the conference really screwed that up with a dismissive attitide and posturing to appear even more elite. Mizzou is a high quality flagship in an extraordinary strategic location. The SEC was not slow in recognizing this in the expansion sweepstakes.