westwolf wrote:
Congratulations, Quinn, on predicting proactive ACC. I never would have believed that they would be first - or that anything like this could happen so fast.
There has been little speculation about adding WV, probably because the 'Neers hold out hope of gaining SEC admittance (although I suspect #14 will be Missouri).
We all knew the logic. But kudos to the ACC for actually having the balls to utilize logic rather than the common instinct to remain passive. It shows the difference between ACC and Big East leadership. It was comical when the Big East opted to "save" itself in 2003 with 5 schools added and only 3 with football...as if Depaul and Marquette were anything special. Lowly FBS newcomer USF had more value just since they had football (as would any football CUSA member then). But the fun hybrid joke just got sad fast when the split never happened. Remember, the split almost happened in 2003 to protect the football schools. But some 7 years later, the hybrid still existed. The 8 and 8 that were supposed to transition to new home conferences instead stayed tied together. The world changed and the Big East kept drinking their Moxie or Sasparilla sodas, listening to big Band records on the Vitrola, and thinking about good old days. And the world changed again.
Now the ACC hass stability. They won't be ever losing a school as long as the finaincials exist the way they do. $20 million is a large number. MEanwhile, the Big east will have to look to CUSA to survive. But as we know, it makes more sense to take advantage of the Big 12 offering: if the Big 12 invites 3-4 BE schools, they will leave. If Texas leaves with TTech to Pac16, then you have 7/7...and ALL the Big East schools can move to the Big 12. But I don't see the Big East having the cache to bring in 5 Big 12 schools. Because those 5 at the bottom are worth more than the 7 Big East schools.
Translation: it's time to cut and run for the Big East football schools.
they could have split in the 90's and gotten schools like Clemson, GA Tech and FSU. they didn't.
They could have split in 2003, and at 9, be in the position to bring in 5 Big 12 schools. they didn't.
And now, if they don't split, they could lose 2 more to the ACC and have no options if the Big 12 goes another route.
But i can say this: I have no doubt that Louisville and Kansas will be in the same conference 5 years from now.