In 1995, the state of Florida (15 million folks) had three 1A schools. In 2005, the state of Florida (20 million) will have seven. UF/UM/FSU won't dominate like they used to.
You kidding? LSUtootnanny, I agree with the vast majority of your posts, but not this one.
The Florida 3 will not lose a single significant recruit to FIU or FAU, and lose very few to USF and UCF. The state has an unreal number of awesome in-state high school athletes. That's why so many div 1-A and 1-AA teams east of the Mississippi River have a large number of Florida citizens on their roster.
The Florida 3 will continue to lose a few in-state stars to fellow BCS members (such as Georgia), but the ones going to FIU and FAU (and to a slightly lesser extent USF and UCF) will instead be the ones previously going to lesser 1A and greater 1AA programs. Check the roster of any eastern school and count the Florida kids.
The state of Florida has football productivity greatly exceeding the capacity of its colleges. Will the Florida 3 lose depth, probably. But that's it. Highly touted high-school kiddies will have no problem fitting into UGeorgia or Rutgers if their only local option is FIU/FAU (and to a lesser extent USF/UCF).
The Florida 3 WILL dominate as before. They won't be hit in proportion to the relative change in population.
However, the Florida Little 4 can steal a QB that makes national news...and very potentially a QB and WR that makes national rankings possible.
UF/FSU/Miami will continue to completely dominate the fan base of Florida for years to come. ...but, I do admit that Florida has (one of ) the best chances to quickly raise a newcomer to biggie time status.