The Bishin Cutter wrote:
fighting muskie wrote:
My best guess is that elements of America East are banking on internal strife in the CAA and the departure of members such as JMU and Wm & Mary to present America East with the opportunity to grab some of those schools so they are staying small at 9 members to allow for expansion at a later date if the right schools become available. Acquisition of Delaware & Towson would bring the America East football and then round out to 12 with either Drexel for the Philadelphia market or invest in Central Connecticut St or Monmouth as a additional football program.
Stony Brook definitely has visions of grandeur but I'm not sure where they think they are headed. Hofstra is blocking them from the CAA. Are they thinking the MAC will look East and grab them and JMU?
AEast might be closer to a meltdown than CAA. I mean, right now, they ARE still closer to one than CAA/F. Where that trickles down to ASun and any share of Big South Football ASun might have, I don't think ASun picks up anything from it. Private schools in CAA and AEast are more likely to petition the likes of NEC, MAAC, SoCon, and Big South. Public ones...I don't know. I mean, AEast used to be big, and much of what's in CAA is from AEast. There's some bad blood, but how bad is it, and could ASun pick anything up from that? Doubtful. I mean, UNCW, CoC, and Elon? Elon's probably the most reachable for ASun, if just because they ticked off too many people in SoCon, but Big South will take them. CoC's probably on good enough terms for SoCon. UNCW? Seems like a stretch. Big South or OVC more likely than ASun. I doubt SoCon goes to bat for them, but they, too, would be in line before ASun.
The CAA strife and internal bickering makes sense--the geography, the public/private split, the football/no football split. The AEast issues are a little more mind boggling.
Hartford being contrary makes sense--they are the only private and they don't play football and they don't want to be replaced by a public football school in their own state.
Binghamton ought to be more helpful. If they want to stay in the same league as Albany and Stony Brook they need to help their fellow SUNY schools get what they want. The same with Vermont--if their old rivalries with New Hampshire and Mainethen they need to support their pro-football agenda.
UMass Lowell doesn't really belong in this league and they shouldn't have been invited but after losing the Boston market the other members wanted it back. Then you have geographic outlier UMBC who is awful in basketball.
This is a conference where the weaker members are the ones getting their way and it's going to drive the stronger members away.
Tying this back to the A-Sun, when things hit a boiling point in CAA and AEast I think the best case scenario is that they are uneffected and worst case the cascade they cause leaves the A-Sun as collateral damage.