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 Post subject: UEFA Nations League
PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2017 7:57 am 
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The 2018–19 UEFA Nations League will be the inaugural season of the UEFA Nations League, a planned international association football competition involving the men's national teams of the 55 member associations of UEFA

The competition, which will be held from September to November 2018 (group stage) and June 2019 (Nations League Finals), will also serve as part of the qualification process for UEFA Euro 2020, awarding berths in the play-offs which will decide four of the twenty-four final tournament slots.

The format and schedule of the UEFA Nations League was formally approved by the UEFA Executive Committee on 4 December 2014. According to the approved format the 55 UEFA national teams will be divided into four divisions (called "Leagues"):
- 12 teams in League A,
- 12 teams in League B,
- 15 teams in League C,
- 16 teams in League D.

For the 2018–19 UEFA Nations League, teams will be divided according to their UEFA national team coefficients after the conclusion of the 2018 FIFA World Cup qualifiers (play-off results will not be included), with the highest-ranked teams playing in League A, etc.

Each division will be divided into four groups of three or four teams, so each team will play four or six matches within their group (using the home-and-away round-robin format), on double match days in September, October and November 2018.

In the top division League A, teams will compete to become the UEFA Nations League champions. The four group winners of League A will qualify for the Nations League Finals, which includes four matches played in knockout format (two semi-finals decided by draw, third place play-off, and the final) in June 2019 at a host country (two venues) to be selected among the four qualified teams, with the winners of the final crowned as the Nations League champions.

Teams will also compete for promotion and relegation to a higher or lower division. In each division, the four group winners (except League A) will be promoted, while the last-placed teams of each group (except League D) will be relegated; however, in League C, due to different sized groups, the three fourth-placed teams and the lowest-ranking third-placed team will be relegated.


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 Post subject: Re: UEFA Nations League
PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2017 8:06 am 
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Nations Cup Group Allocation
The 54 sides will be split into four groups of varying sizes. It appears from the UEFA site that the top two groups will have 12 teams, the third group will have 14 teams and the bottom group will have 16 teams. The teams will presumably be allocated to those groups based on their positions in the UEFA coefficient table (which is currently used to seed the European Championship qualifiers).
Based on the current rankings, the four divisions would be as follows:

League A
Team Coeff Rank
Germany 40,747 1
Portugal 38,656 2
Belgium 38,123 3
Spain 37,311 4
France 36,617 5
England 36,231 6
Switzerland 34,986 7
Italy 34,426 8
Poland 32,982 9
Iceland 31,155 10
Croatia 31,139 11
Netherlands 29,866 12

League B
Team Coeff Rank
Austria 29,419 13
Wales 29,269 14
Russia 29,258 15
Slovakia 28,554 16
Sweden 28,487 17
Ukraine 28,286 18
Republic of Ireland 28,249 19
Bosnia and Herzegovina 28,200 20
Northern Ireland 27,127 21
Denmark 27,052 22
Czech Republic 27,028 23
Turkey 26,538 24

League C
Team Coeff Rank
Hungary 26,486 25
Romania 26,057 26
Scotland 25,662 27
Slovenia 25,148 28
Greece 24,931 29
Serbia 24,847 30
Albania 24,430 31
Norway 24,208 32
Montenegro 23,912 33
Israel 22,791 34
Bulgaria 22,091 35
Finland 20,501 36
Cyprus 19,491 37
Estonia 19,441 38
Lithuania 18,101 39

League D
Team Coeff Rank
Azerbaijan 17,761 40
Macedonia 17,071 41
Belarus 16,868 42
Georgia 16,523 43
Armenia 15,846 44
Latvia 15,821 45
Faroe Islands 15,490 46
Luxembourg 14,231 47
Kazakhstan 13,431 48
Moldova 13,131 49
Liechtenstein 10,950 50
Malta 10,870 51
Andorra 10,240 52
Kosovo 9,950 53
San Marino 8,190 54
Gibraltar 7,550 55


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 Post subject: Re: UEFA Nations League
PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2017 8:13 am 
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Each group will then be split up into smaller leagues. In Groups 1 and 2, the teams would be split into 4 groups of 3. In Group 3, there will be 2 groups of 3 and 2 groups of 4. In Group 4 there will be 4 groups of 4. UEFA have yet to make it clear exactly how the make-up of these leagues will be decided, but I assume that it will be a simple seeded draw. Initially, the seeding will presumably be based on the UEFA coefficients, but in future tournaments it could instead be based on the league positions in the previous Nations League.
Assuming that is the case, the groups could look something like this:

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 Post subject: Re: UEFA Nations League
PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2017 8:14 am 
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Nations Cup Tournament
The sides in each group will face each other home and away between September and November 2018. There are six matchdays in total, so the countries in groups of 3 will have two free matchdays in which they can play friendlies against non-European sides (or another European team who are also free).

In order to make it more like a “real life” example, I have simulated outcomes for each individual group with weights based on UEFA coefficients (an imperfect measure, but the best I have). This means that nations with higher coefficients were more likely to win their group, but it left open the possibility of upsets. This is more helpful than simply assuming everything will go by seeding because it allows me to more easily explore the European Championship qualification aspect later.
Here’s how the simulated groups finished:

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https://splstats.wordpress.com/2014/04/ ... explained/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;


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 Post subject: Re: UEFA Nations League
PostPosted: Fri Dec 29, 2017 4:12 am 
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And why are they doing this? Money?

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