How many schools can be an FCS power AND the state flagship university? Not many schools can emulate Montana.
I strongly disagree. There are about 4-5 schools in IAA that take football seriously and make money consistently. You don't have to be a flagship to get your alumni to upgrade your stadium to 22-25K. If you have a large alumni base there really is no reason for it. You don't have to be a flagship to get them to buy you good training facilities that allow you to compete at the highest level in IAA. The fact is most schools have 15K stadiums at best. Is it easier if you are Deleaware or Montana? (or even UMASS)? ...Sure. Is it very difficult if you are a school with less than 8K enrollment or a private with less than 4k enrollment? Absolutely. I don't mean to imply that ANY school can survive and prosper at the FBS level --- I only mean to say that MOST FBS schools with enrollments larger than that could be breaking even or making money if they didn't approach matters with the idea that they were going to lose money.
There is no reason most members of the MVC, Big Sky, and Southland for example shouldn't have 20K+ stadiums.
I think you should either do what is needed to break even in football or just be a IAAA non-football school.
What I'm seeing, if I'm seeing this correctly... the most affected division is D-2. People will either move up or drop down... it COULD happen in enough numbers that NCAA may have to pull it and sort of go back to an older standard. University Division and College Division, with University broken up into 1-A errrrrrrr FBS and 1-AA errrrrrrrrrrrrrr FCS. The College Division will have very regionally tight conferences, theoretically.
This definitely could happen. I could also see a number of small FCS schools (5K enrollments and down) dropping football unless they have a tight conference. Or maybe we might see a lote of Patroit League clones pop up in FCS to cover the travel shortfalls.
In fact I will predict that by 2020 there will be 5 FCS conferences going the partial or non-football scholarship route in FCS. Will that lead to the NCAA forcing the IVY league and non scholarship others into DIV II or Div III. (or maybe just for football forcing them to a lower calssification...?)
I've said this before and I'll say it again. The BCS crew would be smart to INSIST member schools play 2 FCS schools every year and make FBS ranking methodology pay more attention to the rankings at the FCS level. That alone would keep a lot of FCS schools at that level and would help moderate FCS.
1) top 25 teams would not want to hurt their strength of schedule and as such they would try to schedule FCS top 25 teams --- not dog FCS wannabees.
2) FCS schools would have a choice of being in a FBS dog conference like the Sunbelt and being avoided by BCS schools or being a profitable FBS power who would play 1-2 games a year vs. big schools while not having to maintain the larger scholarship and travel burdens.
3) FCS schools who should really be Div 2 or Div 3 would get financially and competitively pushed out.
To me, that is exactly waht the BCS schools want, isn't it?