the point about markets has been made, it doesnt need to made again, please. Metro has demonstrated great knowledge about merket size but he is not conclusive at all about value. At best its a wash in favor of the Dakotas. Please Metro dont respond with the market argument again I think we get it.
The conclusiveness is in the population numbers. The State of North Dakota is the 3rd least populated state, and will eventually become the 2nd least populated state. The state of Vermont, a mere 13,000 less in population has a greater growth dynamic that will eventually (and soon mind you) take over ND population size. Then you also have the fact that North Dakota has 3 teams that are followed in the state. Thus, one of the smallest markets in college sports.
the BSC has some advantage in travel if they reorganized but there may not be enough acceptable schools avaiiable, making it a long shot in the near term.
You forgot UND. It may take them some time to move up, if they move up. But this may be the only possibility for the BSC to expand, if at all. They may wait until UND is available, or not expand at all.
Any reorganization of the BSC has the danger of being devisive. They cant afford to lose any members now because their auto bids are in danger.
Which is a strong reason why they may not expand at all.
In 2007 expansion debates could get hot and heavy in the BSC when the Dakota schools are in their last transitional yr.
The only possibility for the Dakotas at that time is probably the Mid Con, unless sentiments in the BSC change.
Both the SUs are in a good position and you have to take your hat off to their administrations for moving when they did.
I take my hat off to them. I mean that sincerely.
Late comers may find the going tough, especially if the BSC does something radical like shed a west coast member of two and replace them with 2 dakotas schools.
It is almost not possible for a conference to shed a member. Its a really bad precedence and a conference will not set it. Temple from the Big East was an exception. Conferences don't shed members for arbitrary reasons.
There is a likelihood of NCC teams that move up to gradually be in the same conference with the Dakota States eventually. This likelihood exists because of the potential domino effect(s) on the Division I conference landscape from a BE conference split and/or a MWC raid of the WAC. If other NCC teams move up, they are likely to be in the mix to land in the same conference as NDSU and SDSU.