tute79 wrote:
So I'm guessing this will unfold as follows.
UNO will say: "sounds good, what about our football team ?"
The only acceptable resonse is if the MVFC will expand and accept UNO. The MVFC is currently at 10, and doesn't want 11.
Is the MVFC willing to expand to 12 ? Must be, or the Summit wouldn't bother making overtures to UNO at this point.
So if UNO comes aboard as #11 to the MVFC, who would be #12 ?
The obvious answer is North Dakota. The just agreed to join the Big Sky for all sports, but really wanted the Summit / MVFC combo.
The Big Sky got stuck at an odd number when South Dakota got the Summit ? MVFC combo at the 11th hour.
The Summit Commish (Tom Douple) said "we are looking at several schools" - the Summit will be at 9 when SUU and Centenary leave and South Dakota comes aboard.
I see them adding UNO, North Dakota, and a non-FB school to go to 12.
The Big Sky may let North Dakota go without an exit fee, since they were up front about preferring the Summit / MVFC (to join the other 3 Dakota schools),
and it gets the Big Sky back to even numbers (10 + 2 Big West associate FB members).
So the UNO / North Dakota moves would get the Summit to 11, the MVFC to 12, and the Big Sky to 10+2.
The Summit would want to get to 10 or 12 for other sports.
Subtract one - is Oral Roberts getting overtures from the Southland ?
Add one - is UALR (the only non-FB school int he SunBelt) seeing a need to move elsewhere ?
Those might be likely moves.
Now go down to D-2. If UNO leaves the MIAA (who just expanded to 16 - 8 in Missouri, and 8 in NE, KS, OK), who would they look to, to replace UNO ?
I think logical candidates could be OK Panhandle State (Lonestar Conference) or Wayne St. (NSIC) or Chadron St. (RMAC).
Either of the latter 2 moves could open up a spot for S Dak School of Mines (not currently on the RMAC invitation list).
OPSU has no shot of a MIAA invite. Think of the MIAA as the SEC, think of OPSU as Lamar. Chadron St. is way on the west end of Neb. so they have no shot. Geography matters in D-II. I don't think Wayne St.(NE) is a real option either. They could go after one of the better D-II Arkansas schools, William Jewell or a top NAIA school like Missouri Valley, MidAmerica Nazarene. However the MIAA has Lincoln who was a long time member that dropped football, left, then brought it back and came back. They suck, think of them as Vanderbilt.
UALR isn't being pushed out like Denver was since they have enough core SBC sports and they're in the heart of the footprint. So what advantage would to be for them to leave? Yes it would make for a neat fit for us conf. movement guys, but they don't care about us.