If the big schools were to leave the NCAA, one of the main reasons would be not to share with the smaller schools. Let's face it, the big boys don't like sharing their BCS bowl spots with the Boise State's and the TCU's of the world right now much less offering them conference memberships. I'm not even sure how much they like sharing the BCS money with the Big East and ACC.
I think Quinn's model of 67 teams, (12-12-12-12-10-9) may get knocked down to 64, four super conferences of 16. Personally, I like Quinn's idea of 72, 4-18 team conferences, but I don't think the Big 10, PAC 12 and SEC will.
How about this? 4 super conferences, 4 conference championships, 4 team playoff = BIG MONEY.
Now, who's the lucky 64 or 72?
My guess for the lucky 64. FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.
THE NORTH--(The Big 10)--Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, NOTRE DAME, RUTGERS along with Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Wisconsin, MISSOURI, KANSAS
The Big 10 likes "brands" and markets. Rutgers and Missouri gives the Big Ten markets and Kansas basketball is a "brand". Notre Dame gives them both. Also, all but the Irish are AAU members and state schools.
THE SOUTH--(The SEC)--Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, CLEMSON with Arkansas, LSU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Vandy, OKLAHOMA, TCU, TEXAS A&M
The SEC isn't as big on markets as the Big 10. The SEC likes quality match-ups to sell to the networks. Oklahoma is national power. Clemson and Texas A&M have plenty of football tradition. Adding TCU to Texas A&M gives the SEC plenty of exposure to the Texas recruits. There is no secret the SEC really desires the Aggies. Personally, if I could not have Virginia Tech, I'd try to get NC State over Clemson just to get my foot into the state of North Carolina. That's just me.
THE WEST--(The PAC West)--Cal, Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, UCLA, Southern Cal, Washington, Wazzu with Arizona State, Colorado, Utah, Zona, TEXAS, TEXAS TECH, OKLAHOMA STATE, BOISE STATE
This gives the PAC 12 Texas which they desire. You can't have Texas without Texas Tech. Oklahoma State wants to be with Texas more than they want to be with Oklahoma. They make good travel partners with Texas and Texas Tech. The academic side of the PAC 12 isn't thrilled with Boise State joining but considering the lack of football powers in the west, Boise gets in. With the exception of Boise State, this is pretty much what the PAC was shooting for last summer
THE EAST--(The ACC)--Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, NC State, Wake, LOUISVILLE with Boston College, Maryland, Virginia, Virginia Tech, UCONN, PITT, SYRACUSE, WVU
Being low man on this totem pole, the ACC picks the best of what's left by securing the entire East coast. Syracuse would already be in the ACC if not for Virginia politics. The ACC was lucky on that one. Pitt and WVU give them 2 quality teams and another rivalry. UConn fits in nicely with the other ACC basketball schools.
WHO'S LEFT OUT?
BAYLOR, IOWA STATE, KANSAS STATE, CINCINNATI AND USF, who all stay in the NCAA and join the Mountain West and Conference USA respectfully.
Mountain West--Air Force, Fresno, Hawaii, Nevada, UNLV, San Diego State, Wyoming, BRIGHAM YOUNG with Colorado State, New Mexico, BAYLOR, IOWA STATE, KANSAS STATE, HOUSTON, SMU, UTEP
Conference USA--UCF, East Carolina, Marshall, CINCINNATI, USF, TEMPLE, ARMY, NAVY AND Alabama-Birmingham, Memphis, Southern Miss, Rice, Tulane, Tulsa, LOUISIANA TECH, NORTH TEXAS
While I'm at it, what the hell.
WAC--Idaho, San Jose State, Utah State, MONTANA, MONTANA STATE, CAL-POLY, UC-DAVIS, SACRAMENTO STATE with New Mexico State, Texas State, UT-San Antonio, UT-Arlington (adds football), ARKANSAS STATE, LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE, LOUISIANA-MONROE, LAMAR
SUN BELT--Middle Tennessee, South Alabama, Troy, Western Kentucky, JACKSONVILLE STATE, NORTH ALABAMA along with Florida Atlantic, Florida International, APPALACHIAN STATE, CHARLOTTE, GEORGIA STATE, JAMES MADISON
THE MAC--Ball State, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Miami, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Western Michigan with Akron, Buffalo, Kent State, Ohio, UMass, DELAWARE, OLD DOMINION, YOUNGSTOWN STATE