Assuming WVU departs the BE for the Big XII this afternoon, does this crank up timing for ACC to go after UConn / Rutgers ?
BE FB is down to 5 (and Louisville may still be in play), but seem set to forge ahead hurriedly on inviting however many schools to get to 12.
IF the ACC has a vested interest in NOT seeing this happen, and taking UConn and Rutgers NOW throws the BE plans into doubt, it may be time to move.
The problem is that they have their heart set on Notre Dame, who will drag their feet forever.
Notre Dame wants the BE reconstituted to preserve their nest.
So if the ACC wants UConn / Notre Dame, it's dicey.
They almost need to let it be known they are resolved to go to 16, and leak that UConn is "gone form the BE".
This then may or may not disrupt all the BE FB expansion plans.
If it does, then momentum for the CUSA/MWC to absorb BE remainders gains strength (they need a TV contract in hand to facilitate this),
and Boise St. quits talking to the BE.
Do the Catholic BB schools REALLY want to admit a pile of CUSA schools as full-members, or would they fancy a split, if it were feasible ?
If he latter, soon they have to use their majority to vote for the BE to stop sponsoring FB and urge Marinatto to negotiate a merger with CUSA/MWC.
They have now chased out 1/2 the FB schools, they have the power to effectively ease the remaining FB schools out the door.
Instead they are re-creating an even uglier hybrid.
If everything finally shakes out into a stable situation, this would make a fascinating book / movie in a few years.
Maybe even a management school case study.
A lot of management case studies use examples of bad management, the story of BE leadership would be an excellent learning tool for what not to do.
Also tute, think the ship has sailed on a BE split. If the hoops schools didn't want the CUSA schools, they would have put their foot down. Think about it, only Lousiville and UConn are big schools the hoops schools are bending over backwards for. Maybe Rutgers, maybe Cincy. Not USF. The hoops schools could have laid out the gauntlet: we will not support any all-sports members (means need to drop football)...but we want you all to remain for other sports but put FB in CUSA. Big east would be 13 members with UL/ND. If one left, 12. Worst case scenario: UL/ND leave and you have 11.
But they didn't.
Instead they agreed to 3-4 new all sports schools, none from the current footprint (well, if you count USF as the BE footprint, then UCF counts as "in").
It's too bad. Because i'm certain that in the coming weeks/years that Uconn will be gone to ACC, UL in B12. Rutgers could even end up in the Big Ten if ND opted for Big Ten, or ACC if ND passed.
Point is, there is a good chance that 5 years from now, you could see the "Big East" made up of the 7 non-football schools, with USF, UCF, SMU, Houston, Cincy, Memphis, Temple, ECU for all sports (and other FB only to get to 9-10).
Because the problem is that FBS football is a drug. By not putting an end to it now, and expanding, it means that WHEN UL/Uconn/ or Rutgers leave, that MORE replacements will need to come in since they will NEED that magic 8 all-sports members. So when they leave, you'll see Temple, Memphis, ECU, etc join for all sports...because they will need 8. There is no reason to add the 3-4 all-sports schools now when it means you HAVE to keep doing it when more current schools leave.
It's a sad cycle. Miami for USF, BC for Lousiville, VA Tech for Cincy...now Syracuse for Houston, Pitt for UCF, WVU for SMU, TCU for an undetermined all-sports school (likely Temple). And next it will be Louisville for who, ECU? Uconn for who, UMass? Rutgers for who, Marshall? Just gets uglier and uglier.