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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 9:26 am 
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The Bishin Cutter wrote:
Desperation hail mary. UL isn't a top-of-list acquisition for either the B12 or ACC. Just one of the more likely ones.

CBS: Boise State is having doubts. So, in one year, you lose football juggernauts WVU, TCU, and historical powers Syracuse and Pitt, and now potentially Boise State? Oh man, just kill this thing already.


I've started to change my position on Boise St. recently. I'm now starting to think that there is some validity to them remaining in the MWC. And here's why...

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 10:02 am 
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Matt, I agree with your point about easier road to playoffs for BSU in MWC than BE. In 2008(?) they won WAC and were ranked 6th in BCS, playing TCU in "Non AQ Bowl". Under the Delaney plan they would have qualified for semis that year.

Does the fact that SD St has announced its withdrawal from MWC make it harder or more expensive for them to reverse fields?


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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 10:18 am 
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westwolf wrote:
Matt, I agree with your point about easier road to playoffs for BSU in MWC than BE. In 2008(?) they won WAC and were ranked 6th in BCS, playing TCU in "Non AQ Bowl". Under the Delaney plan they would have qualified for semis that year.

Does the fact that SD St has announced its withdrawal from MWC make it harder or more expensive for them to reverse fields?


Yes, much harder. It would be a $10 million exit fee for them. So to update my post, it would cost the MWC $15 million to get both Boise St. and SDSU. Maybe Boise St. by themselves and swing UTEP over for #12 makes more sense after all!

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 10:22 am 
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Yeah, I think the more distressing thing is here that Boise hasn't formally withdrawn.

tute79 wrote:
However they are CERTAINLY on the list for the Big XII.


Right, they are attainable. That isn't the same as desirable. If the conference could have gotten Arkansas and Pitt, or BYU and AFA, like they apparently wanted, the WVU-UL situation wouldn't have happened.

I don't know if the B12 goes to UL now with a west coast guy as their commissioner. Maybe this is where you close the door on UL and go to UNM, BYU, AFA, CSU, or grow a big set and talk to one of the PAC-12 geographic outliers.

It's semantics, I know. But I believe there's a big difference between wanting ND and getting UL instead. I think the Big XII will get UL. I also think they may only get Tulane, UNM, or Rice with that, too. None of them "desired."


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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 2:24 pm 
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The Bishin Cutter wrote:
Yeah, I think the more distressing thing is here that Boise hasn't formally withdrawn.

tute79 wrote:
However they are CERTAINLY on the list for the Big XII.


Right, they are attainable. That isn't the same as desirable. If the conference could have gotten Arkansas and Pitt, or BYU and AFA, like they apparently wanted, the WVU-UL situation wouldn't have happened.

I don't know if the B12 goes to UL now with a west coast guy as their commissioner. Maybe this is where you close the door on UL and go to UNM, BYU, AFA, CSU, or grow a big set and talk to one of the PAC-12 geographic outliers.

It's semantics, I know. But I believe there's a big difference between wanting ND and getting UL instead. I think the Big XII will get UL. I also think they may only get Tulane, UNM, or Rice with that, too. None of them "desired."

How many times do we have to repeat this on this board, Pitt, Air Force, and BYU never turned down a Big 12 invite because none were never offered. Only Arkansas and Notre Dame had open invitations to join the Big 12. All three may have been in talks with the Big 12, there were never any formal invites.

If Pitt had not received an invitation to the ACC and jumped on the first change to get out of the failing Big East, the Big 12 would have most likely taken Pitt, WVU and Louisville as a package deal. With the latest TV contracts based on revenue and BCS changes, the Pitt move to the ACC was not really a good move based on football and revenue.

The WVU would have never happened only if Arkansas and Notre Dame would have joined the Big 12, otherwise, WVU would have been in the mix regardless of what direction the Big 12 took with expansion.

Let me repeat this again, the Big 12 and BYU did not come to any agreement and BYU decided to not peruse the Big 12 any longer. That is not the same as turning down and invite. If the Big 12 insist you must be willing to play on Sundays and BYU insist we will not, that is not turning down an offer to join. If I am requiting an employee and insist they must work some weekends to meet the job requirements and they are not willing to work any weekends. Did they turn the job down or did I actually make an offer? I never would make an offer to someone that could not meet the job requirements.

Maybe Air Force could have got an invite if they had not opening admitted the school could not compete in the Big 12 due to restrictions of the academy. This again is not turning down and invite. It is just being commendable in opening admitting to a desire to remain in league where a school can compete. There are many BCS schools in leagues they are not competitive could learn something from Air Force and not just follow the money trail.
Again if a perspective employee told me that really could not perform the job very well, would I extend the offer anyway?

With BYU out as a candidate because the Big 12 and BYU could not agree, Air Force was less of a target to be a travel partner anyway. The Big 12 was always up front on expanding either east or west and not in both directions to avoid stretching the footprint any more than necessary.

Discussions that take place in back rooms on expansion are not opening known and everything else is just pure speculation.

Regardless of the circumstances, the Big 12 should be patting itself on the back for getting TCU and WVU. Both additions did not impact the ability to command a new TV contract similar to the other three power football leagues of Pac 12, SEC, and Big Ten.

Most preseason polls have both TCU and WVU in the top 20 providing the Big 12 a majority of its members in the top 25.

With football driving the revenue bus, would the TV contact had been the same with BYU and Air Force in place of WVU and TCU?

Guess we will never know and am sure the Big 12 does not care as well.

So what is your point of bringing up WVU and TCU got invites because Pitt, Air Force, and BYU supposedly turned down offers?


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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 2:47 pm 
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http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootbal ... t-big-east

Boise St is having cold feet...

http://articles.boston.com/2012-05-08/s ... conference

Split may happen yet

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 2:58 pm 
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Quinn wrote:
westwolf wrote:
Matt, I agree with your point about easier road to playoffs for BSU in MWC than BE. In 2008(?) they won WAC and were ranked 6th in BCS, playing TCU in "Non AQ Bowl". Under the Delaney plan they would have qualified for semis that year.

Does the fact that SD St has announced its withdrawal from MWC make it harder or more expensive for them to reverse fields?


Yes, much harder. It would be a $10 million exit fee for them. So to update my post, it would cost the MWC $15 million to get both Boise St. and SDSU. Maybe Boise St. by themselves and swing UTEP over for #12 makes more sense after all!

You can always talk down the buyout. Do the BE schools really want to fly out to play SDSU w/o BSU being in the conf. they could kick them out since they're an affiliate like they did to Temple when they were fb only. SDSU adds nothing worth keeping for the BE.

Can anyone really believe that BSU is actually going to turn down 3-4 mill more a year? BW or Summit or WAC (5, plus GWC) will house their other sports.

The idea of SDSU of being fb only makes 0 sense, basketball is their best sport MWC light years ahead of BW in bball. plus in a 12 team MWC the West would be SJSU, Fresno, SDSU, Nevada, UNLV, Hawaii. That's the BW footprint. I know the east games would be further but no freaking way they stay in the BW if they come back for fb.

Why does SDSU have to pay $10 mill anyway? I though both buyouts go down if BE loses AQ and if they don't get 70% of the $$$. We wouldn't know part 2(maybe the bball schools said they want 40% so they do know) but we know part 1 (No AQ)

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 3:03 pm 
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tkalmus wrote:
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/story/19011713/boise-state-might-be-having-second-thoughts-about-big-east

Boise St is having cold feet...

http://articles.boston.com/2012-05-08/s ... conference

Split may happen yet

If a split happens then...

BSU and SDSU stay MWC?
Navy?

Do they add 1 to go to 12 or 2 if they don't keep Navy for fb only? nBE (12 all sports or 12/11)You could do 12/12 w/ ND all but fb and Navy fb only
who is up next if they add 1 or 2? S.Miss, Tulane, ECU, Tulsa, UMass, Charlotte

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 3:29 pm 
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Fresno St. Alum wrote:
tkalmus wrote:
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/story/19011713/boise-state-might-be-having-second-thoughts-about-big-east

Boise St is having cold feet...

http://articles.boston.com/2012-05-08/s ... conference

Split may happen yet

If a split happens then...

BSU and SDSU stay MWC?
Navy?

Do they add 1 to go to 12 or 2 if they don't keep Navy for fb only? nBE (12 all sports or 12/11)You could do 12/12 w/ ND all but fb and Navy fb only
who is up next if they add 1 or 2? S.Miss, Tulane, ECU, Tulsa, UMass, Charlotte

Villanova would want to upgrade if it went down that way and the fb teams would probably let them in order to keep their bball...

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 3:52 pm 
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Villanova's quick upgrade plans are all but dead. Any upgrade for the Wildcats is a five-year ramp-up, minimum. Their fans are talking about a possible Patriot League interim football stint. That can't be good.

The conference is on the right track with basketball-minded schools. If they get through this, I see UAB, Tulsa, and maybe one of the OH MAC schools in their crosshairs (UMOH or OhU).


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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 4:06 pm 
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someone on the csn board said there's a clause that if BSU backs out that SDSU wouldn't have to pay a buyout fee if they don't join. I'm sure MWC would waiver their re-entry fee.

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 4:17 pm 
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Fresno St. Alum wrote:
someone on the csn board said there's a clause that if BSU backs out that SDSU wouldn't have to pay a buyout fee if they don't join. I'm sure MWC would waiver their re-entry fee.

The article says that Boise St hasn't official declared that they are leaving the MWC yet, so I assume they haven't paid an exit fee yet which means they wouldn't have to pay any entry fee...

And I remember reading somewhere that Boise St and SDSU back out of joining the Big East if they lost AQ status, now that may be debatable since AQ status has gone away for everyone but I bet if they really wanted out then both the Big East and the Mountain West would work it out somehow...

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 4:34 pm 
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tkalmus wrote:
Fresno St. Alum wrote:
someone on the csn board said there's a clause that if BSU backs out that SDSU wouldn't have to pay a buyout fee if they don't join. I'm sure MWC would waiver their re-entry fee.

The article says that Boise St hasn't official declared that they are leaving the MWC yet, so I assume they haven't paid an exit fee yet which means they wouldn't have to pay any entry fee...

And I remember reading somewhere that Boise St and SDSU back out of joining the Big East if they lost AQ status, now that may be debatable since AQ status has gone away for everyone but I bet if they really wanted out then both the Big East and the Mountain West would work it out somehow...

SDSU has signed the papers to leave. I'm talking about them and their re-entry fee

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PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2012 11:17 pm 
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The Big East is hanging on by a thread to still be a relevant football conference. IMO, it's in BSU and SDSU's best interest to go back to the MWC, if not to try to form their own conference with them two and BYU as the three power schools.

Louisville, who would increase the Big12's overall prestige by adding a top tier basketball program to compete with WVU, Kansas, Baylor, Texas, and even KSU, along with a solid football program would be beneficial for the that conference to add. Cincinnati would also fit that bill too and both would help be geographic bridges to connect WVU to the Big12 mainland.

If any more main Big East schools leave, especially Louisville, I can see the basketball schools splitting or at least the football schools trying to leave.


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PostPosted: Sat May 12, 2012 9:28 am 
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Article out of Pittsburgh reporting that Pitt has filed a lawsuit against the Big East in an attempt to leave early.Can Syracuse be far behind?Link at http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/spo ... ast-635561


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