lash wrote:
tute79,
This makes sense with the two at large teams which I did not realize were included in the 6 access bowls. I am assuming these at large bids would be selected by the same committee that will determine the four teams in the playoff.
There is currently a rumor on the Big East boards, the Big East and other non five power leagues will get one of the bids in the six access bowls.
I could not understand how there were be an opening or at large bids in the six access bowls if the championship game were included as well.
There is really no need for a 7 access bowl when we have two at large bids available.
If you review the current BCS structure, there are actually more bids available in the new system compared to the old one. This would mean 12 access bids with 6 bowls compared to 10 bids in the old system and two of the current system bids of 10 are included in the BCS title game.
In net there are actually four new BCS bowl slots available so there is no reason the access bowls could not provide one of the at large bids to the non power leagues.
lash - the 7th bowl was ruled dead because no one wanted to give the BigEast+MidMajors access to a bowl annually and end up like the Orange Bowl has been over the last decade. This is how it will work.
Playoffs will seed 1-4 (with 4 possibly swapping with 5 if 5 is a conference champion and 4 is not, could go to 6 but that seems unlikely)
The Rose/Sugar/Orange are fully tied up.
So for a BigEast+MidMajor to make a BCS game they'd have to be in the top 4 or get selected for the only at large bowl that will be wanting to pit the top money making teams against each other to ensure a sell out.
So its unlikely that the nonAQ will get an automatic bid, now their could be a semi-automatic bid similar to the old if top 12 and a conference champ rule just to avoid anti-trust lawsuits but no way do they simply pencil in a spot every year for the nonAQs.
Here's my best guess one how the last 4 year would have shaken out in the new post season...
2008
Playoffs 1 Oklahoma v 5 USC (non-SEC champ Alabama passed over for P10 champ)
Playoffs 2 Florida v 3 Texas
COMPLAINTS Alabama getting passed over and undefeated Utah not getting a chance
Rose 8 Penn State v 17 Oregon (highest remaining P12 passes over a few higher ranked teams but spot is guaranteed)
Sugar 4 Alabama v 7 Texas Tech
Orange 19 Virginia Tech v 10 Ohio State (highest remaining between B10/SEC/ND)
At Large 6 Utah v 15 Georgia (passes over 9 Boise St/11 TCU/12 Cincy to avoid bad ratings)
OUT OF LUCK BELLYACHE-RS 9 Boise State 11 TCU 12 Cincy 13 Oklahoma State 14 GATech all get passed over for UGA
2009
Playoffs 1 Alabama v 4 TCU
Playoffs 2 Texas v 3 Cincy
COMPLAINTS Florida and Boise getting left out
Rose 7 Oregon v 8 Ohio State
Champions 5 Florida v 19 Oklahoma State (highest remaining B12 passes over a few higher ranked teams but spot is guaranteed)
Orange 9 Georgia Tech v 10 Iowa (highest remaining between B10/SEC/ND)
At Large 6 Boise State v v 12 LSU
OUT OF LUCK BELLYACHE-RS 11 Virginia Tech and 13 Penn St
2010
Playoffs 1 Auburn v 5 Wisconsin (non-P12 champ Stanford passed over for B10 champ)
Playoffs 2 Oregon v 3 TCU
COMPLAINTS Stanford getting passed over
Rose 4 Stanford v 6 Ohio State
Sugar 7 Oklahoma v 8 Arkansas
Orange 13 Virginia Tech v 9 Michigan St (highest remaining between B10/SEC/ND)
At Large 11 LSU v 12 Missouri
OUT OF LUCK BELLYACHE-RS 10 Boise State
2011
Playoffs 1 LSU v 3 Oklahoma State (to avoid LSU/Oregon rematch 1 plays 3)
Playoffs 2 Alabama v 5 Oregon (non-P12 champ Stanford passed over for P12 champ)
COMPLAINTS 4 Stanford missing again and LSU/OSU not getting to play lower ranked teams
Rose 4 Stanford v 10 Wisconsin
Sugar 6 Arkansas v 8 Kansas State
Orange 11 Virginia Tech v 9 South Carolina (highest remaining between B10/SEC/ND)
At Large 13 Michigan v 15 Clemson (highest remaining, Clemson was selected over 14 OU in real life)
OUT OF LUCK BELLYACHE-RS 7 Boise State 12 Baylor and 14 Oklahoma (were all passed over for Michigan and Clemson)
So in summary, undefeated Utah, TCU, Cincy, and Boise all make BCS games but a #7 Boise is passed over for the more attractive teams along with the #9 BSU 11 TCU and 12 Cincy. And while yes that does even out to 1 per year, 3 of those came in 2009 and all those teams are now in the BE or AQ conferences so there would have to be 3 semi popular undefeated teams from the BE, MWC and either the MAC or SBC for that to ever happen again (highly unlikely). Best I see it, the BE+MMs should push harder for that 7th bowl and get a guaranteed spot that 9 times out of 10 goes to the BE or sue the BCS or whatever they are calling themselves now to get another if top 12 rule instituted to have more access to the at large bowl.
BTW here are my projections for 2012 if they had the new post season.
(assuming undefeated Lville makes it at 6 if not even with another loss Clemson Texas or UCLA could swoop in, A&M could too if they are were willing to give the SEC 5 bids and pit 2 SEC teams who didn't play against each other)
2012
Playoffs 1 Alabama v 3 Oregon
Playoffs 2 Kansas State v 4 Notre Dame
COMPLAINTS none
Rose 14 Stanford v 11 Nebraska
Sugar 5 Florida v 9 Oklahoma
Orange 10 Florida State v 7 Georgia (highest remaining between B10/SEC/ND)
At Large 6 Louisville v 8 South Carolina