The Bishin Cutter wrote:
I don't think much of the FSU and GT candidacies for B1G inclusion, but I like them more than the UNC-UVA core ones. If the ACC is going to be "robbed" by the B1G, it's still going to be on the fringes. I still like Pitt and Syracuse if the expansion happens before the start of the new academic year cycle. I don't think they want to leave one conference where their concerns over handling issues with the likes of Notre Dame fell on deaf ears by going into another that pretty much did the same thing. The ACC got that one through without two probable dissenting votes...that's not how one does business cooperatively.
I'm not so sure about Syracuse and Pitt for this next round (evenutally yes) I think the goal is to get eyeballs and markets for the upcoming TV deal, and the biggest "reasonable" (so no Denver/LA/SF/Seattle) untapped markets are New England (BC/UConn), Virginia (UVA), North Carolina (UNC/Duke), Atlanta (GT), Florida (FSU), Missouri (UM), Texas (UT), and of course the eyeball factor of ND and possibly Oklahoma; Pitt/Syracuse are just filler type schools in the realignment world which while valueable are not really slam dunks in expansion...similar to Kansas.
But I do agree with you and have also been thinking about this for awhile now, that if they grabbed FSU/GT to go to 16, then quickly take UVA for 17 while everyone's freaking out and use it as leverage against UNC and ND saying they'll stop at 18 while leaving the ACC in complete disarray.
If 1 joins and the other doesn't then stop at 18 but if both decide to join then obviously they'd take both of them and add another like Duke, Pitt, Syracuse, BC or UConn and go to 20 (honestly I could see them eventually taking all those schools and going to 24).
At some point, this will level off and people will start wondering why the big schools only miles apart from each other don't play anymore, and I don't think, when it comes down to it, these schools have it in them to fight their state and federal governments on those matters, or the NFL if they think they can break from the NCAA and do something "semi-pro." It's not a fight they can win.
There's money in the regional rivalries thing, and at some point, a guy like Delany is going to no longer be the head or mouthpiece to the conference. They're going to see that you can make a lot of money going with schools that keep local revenue and economies going, while capitalizing on regionalized advertising. It's for that reason I'm so certain 15 and 16, if they happen, are two in that KU, MU, Pitt, and 'Cuse cluster. No, they're not big market grabs, or the most prestigious choices, but they make such regional sense because their alumni live mostly amongst Big Ten school alumni.
BC is a tough one. They make a lot of sense on paper, but have not done anything to make their case an obvious one. They voted for the buyout increase, I think they advocated for Notre Dame, and I suspect that Louisville is now an ACC school and not UConn has something to do with appeasing BC. I could see BC sticking a knife into the ACC, like it did to Syracuse, but I think it would make for extremely hard times for that school if they did.