fighting muskie wrote:
Over on the CAA page I posted a scenario that keeps the CAA afloat by gutting the SoCon and taking Davidson, Elon, and UNC Greensboro to build a southern division but I thought I should play out what I think that means for the SoCon---
I think the next thing that happens is that Samford and UT Chattanooga jump for the more stable OVC. UT Chattanooga might even make it all the way to the Sunbelt, who knows. Either way I think those two are probably gone. That leaves:
To keep the SoCon going they could add all 6 Big South football schools to get to a 10-member all-sports league where everyone plays football. They could even go for 12 and get into Georgia by taking the new Mercer and Kennesaw St programs. Whether they go with 10 or 12 I think its a good league--2 schools in VA, 2 in NC, 6 in SC, maybe 2 more in GA. Easy travel and obvious travel partners.
That leaves 6 schools in the Big South and 8-10 in the Atlantic Sun. One of those leagues raids the other and the rest probably become orphans or look for DII transitioning programs.
It depends on timing and if the SoCon moves fast, that means KSU, Mercer, ETSU join before the CAA or OVC adds anyone. Then they all reevaluate. CAA makes its moves depending who they take, UTC and Samford may go to the OVC. I'm saying they'll probably get back to 12 before they fall to 4. But after 12, CAA could cut them down to 9.