Like your idea on this one Muskie. But I had something similar about this, which is related with the Summit (the fb-playing schools to the MVC and the non-fb schools to the Horizon), and I post it on a different sub-forum or topic.
You mean the idea I wrote 2 posts above his...lol.
No disrespect ncaa2000 but your idea was to for the fb schools to team up and leave the bball schools as is. While I understand this has the same end result, the motives behind it are vastly different as it would be ridiculous for Northern Iowa or Missouri State to divorce themselves from bball powerhouses Wichita St or Creighton just because.
After thinking this out I think the following is more likely to happen than a split which is a longshot at best as the MVC is a great brand.
We're assuming that sh*t rolls downhill, so if the Catholic 7 decides to just grab 10 (as their TV money doesn't increase by adding 2) and takes Butler, Xavier, and Richmond (current fave over VCU) that leaves SLU and Dayton in the A10 way out in left field.
To keep those two Western members happy the A10 would most likely expand with more Western members and take Creighton (MVC) Witchita St (MVC) both great bball schools and Detroit (Horizon) for the market.
The MVC which was 5 fb schools and 5 nonfb schools (counting non-scholarship Drake as non fb) is now 5 fb to 3 non fb so they decide to simply take in the fb playing Summit members in the MVFC, NDSU, SDSU, SDU, and Western Illinois to get them to 12 w/ 9 fb teams + YSU.
Now they could choose to add North Dakota and Nebraska-Omaha for a nice 14 team league to reduce travel in nonfb sports by breaking into Northern/Southern divisions and allowing fewer plane trips and more bus trips.
North - NDU, NDSU, SDSU, SDU, UNO, Drake, NIU
South - MSU, SIU, WIU, Bradley, IlSU, EU, InSU
Also adding NDU allows for the MVC to takeover the MVFC and drop YSU (if they want) and completely manage the league in house which would allow them the negotiate a media deal for all-sports making it more profitable. If YSU wants to stay and play fb w/ them, the MVC could encourage either Drake to add fb scholarships, or get Nebraska-Omaha to resume the sport, or get Valparaiso (non scholarship fb, other sports in Horizon like YSU) to add scholarships and join as another fb only to go along w/ YSU and give them a nice 12 team league.
North - NDU, NDSU, SDSU, SDU, NIU, Drake/UNO (if Valp move MSU could call it West)
South - MSU, SIU, WIU, IlSU, InSU, YSU (possibly Valp and call it East)
Anyways the only teams left in the Summit would be IUPUFW (in the middle of the footprint), IUPUI (good market), and Oakland (replacement for Detroit) which could easily fill into the Horizon League giving them 11 so they could and Chicago St from the WAC (who's been wanting in for years) to even things out.
Fan of the Big 12 Conference, the Mountain West Conference and...