Fresno St. Alum wrote:
Okay but I was assuming you'd still play the same OOC just w/ 2 less games so 12-0 vs 14-0, or 7-5, vs 9-5, you can't have it both ways. So 22-8 vs 21-9 or 17-13 vs 16-14
Yeah, I was combining two separate arguments into one example. But each show how the RPI is just math.
The Atlantic 10 was 145-77 OOC last season (.6532). In 28 games, .6532 is about 18-10. Now they'll go 14-14.
The average A-10 game is going to go from "worth" .5762 on everyone's SOS to .5672 on everyone's SOS. LaSalle's SOS would go from .5468 to .5417. Their RPI would go from #46 to #49 just from that SOS. (That's assuming they post the same record in the two new A-10 games than the two OOC games. If they lose one, they're out of the top 50 of the RPI, and the other four NCAA teams in the A-10 lose top 50 wins, which affects their seeding in the dance).
Also, which games do you think are coming OFF the schedules to fit those two more conference games? Probably the guaranteed games against non-BCS schools. Games in which they're a lot better than .6532 against. They were 71-3 vs RPI 200+ last year
. If THOSE are the games that are replaced with conference games, and they go from 145-77 to 132-76 OOC, each schools' SOS would go down .0160. That would have bumped LaSalle AND Temple out of the Top 50 of the RPI; and Butler and VCU out of the Top 25.